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Investors Ignore Bad News and BuyInvestors found a lot to like in yesterdays news and bought back into the market driving the Dow up to a six-year record high.
For once, good economic news didnt raise the specter of further rate hikes by the Fed, although that possibility moved up on the odds chart. The market got help from an unlikely source in recent days: General Motors. The once icon of American manufacturing prowess has been badly beaten up in the auto and stock market. Merrill Lynch changed its rating on GM from sell to neutral and the stock bounced up $1.74 per share. Today may be a different story. Fed chief Ben Bernanke addresses Congress on the economic outlook. Several days ago, the betting was that the next Fed meeting in May would be the last rate hike for a while. However, the economy continues to put up strong numbers in the face of record high oil prices and that has to be of concern to the Fed. Also today, Exxon Mobil reports its earnings, which are expected to be substantially higher than the record-breaking numbers from last quarter. This will make investors happy, but expect a strong negative public reaction. There will be renewed calls for windfall profit taxes and general outrage. ConclusionIt is going to be a long, hot summer. Energy prices are not going anyway but up and its beginning to look like the hoped for break in interest rate hikes is in jeopardy. However, our economy just keeps going and getting stronger. This is good news for the market, even if it means higher interest rates may be with us a while longer. |
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