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Ken Little
Ken's Stocks Blog

By Ken Little, About.com Guide to Stocks

No Happy Holidays Without More Jobs

Thursday November 19, 2009

For millions of unemployed and under-employed Americans, this will not be a very merry holiday season.

If consumers aren't spending, retailers aren't ordering, wholesalers are reluctant to fill warehouses and manufacturers cut back production.

The net result is jobs are lost at every step along the way.


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Bond Information Center Answers Questions

Wednesday November 18, 2009

Bonds should be a part of every investor's portfolio. Bonds provide a balance to the volatility of stocks.

However they are sometimes confusing and difficult to understand.

This collection of articles will get you started on the right road to success with bonds.


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Stock Market P/E Skyrockets

Monday November 16, 2009

The stock market is way over priced if you use the price-earnings ratio (P/E) of the S&P 500 as a gauge.

The dramatic rise in the S&P 500 since the market bottom in March (up 60%) has not been accompanied by or driven by an increase in earnings.

Indeed, if you understand P/E as investors' anticipation of higher prices, you would think a super bull market is just around the corner.

On the other hand, it can also mean a price bubble driven by speculation that can burst in any moment.

Do you really think a super-bull market is coming?


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Should Government Limit Executive Compensation?

Wednesday November 11, 2009

Should the government set or limit the compensation corporate executives receive?

The short (an incomplete) answer is no. The government should not be in the position of capping or limiting the salaries of corporate executives.

That is inconsistent with a free enterprise market system.

However, we don't have a free enterprise market system when key companies (investment banks, for example) are deemed "too big to fail."

Add your thoughts in this reader comment section.


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Cash Flow to Debt Ratio Helps Spot Trouble

Monday November 9, 2009

Most companies don't get into financial trouble overnight - there are signs.

One of the better signs is the cash flow to debt ratio.

This ratio tells you how well a company can cover its debts from cash flow.

A low number is bad news. Here's how it works.


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Stock Market on Rocky Course

Thursday November 5, 2009

The stock market has been on a roller coaster and there's a good chance it's not getting off anytime soon.

Good news on the jobs front along with some better than expected earnings sent the market up Thursday, but that follows a down day that struggled with uncertainty.

Investors are looking for a reason to buy, but reality keeps biting them in the butt.

And that reality is true unemployment (combining the jobless numbers with workers on reduced hours or otherwise working for much less than before) is staggering.

A vast majority of business economists recently predicted it will be at least two and, quite likely more, years before the unemployment situation is resolved.

That means in the short run it is unlikely that consumer spending will return with any strength.

Without increased consumer spending, business spending will not grow enough to create the jobs we need to ease the unemployment crisis.

Remember, we not only have to replace lost jobs but must also create jobs for young people entering the work force every year.

This is why the stock market charts are likely to look more like the Swiss Alps than an airliner taking off.


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Buffett Sends Message to Stock Market

Tuesday November 3, 2009

When Warren Buffett speaks (and, more importantly, acts) the stock market listens.

The market may not always follow his moves precisely, but you can bet many in the stock market note whether he is bullish or bearish.

He is definitely bullish these days with the acquisition of Burlington Northern Santa Fe railroad - a $44 billion investment.

Some pundits have labeled the move a "bet," but Buffett doesn't bet.

Every move he makes is well thought-out and, for the most part, geared toward a long-term investment.

Why is his acquisition of a railroad important?

Transportation stocks (railroads, trucking firms, but not necessarily airlines) do well when the economy is strong.

They suffer when the economy is bad and there are fewer goods to move around.

Buffett's acquisition of a railroad is testimony to his confidence in the U.S. economy. Transportation, including railroads, will see increased traffic as the economy grows.

He has become the most successful investor in history by buying where others failed to see long-term potential - in other words, Buffett is a value investor.

Too often these days, stock investors hear that long-term investing is a losing game - that market fluctuations will wipe out any gains.

Buffett reminds us again that a long-term perspective is still one road to investing success, but it is not a road investors should follow with their eyes closed.


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CIT Bankruptcy Blow to Stockholders

Sunday November 1, 2009

Small business financing giant CIT Group Inc. filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy Sunday.

While not unexpected, the bankruptcy may further shake investor confidence Monday after a tough run last week.

The markets closed down slightly for October ending a seven-month bull run.

The CIT bankruptcy is troubling because it is the largest lender to medium and small businesses.

With the holiday season coming and companies needing solid financing, the CIT trouble could spread.

Trouble has already found the taxpayer. CIT received several billion in U.S. funds last year in an effort to stay afloat.

The government took preferred stock for its investment.

However, the CIT bankruptcy, like most filings, renders stock in the company worthless. Bankruptcy treats bondholders better, but they won't get all of their money back.

Bankruptcy is never good for stockholders, however that's part of the risk of being a part owner.

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Clearing Up Differences Between Saving and Investing

Thursday October 29, 2009

Thanks to uncertainty in the economy and stock market, savings rates are up and investing rates are down.

Which is another way of saying investors are more concerned with a fixed, but virtually certain, rate of return and less willing to risk a loss.

This is the difference between saving and investing. It is an important distinction because too often investors expect they will only make money.

The risk of loss should equal the chance of gain.


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Beware of Companies That Game the System

Wednesday October 28, 2009

Earnings season is a time for companies to lay their financial cards on the table for the previous quarter.

Although there are rules and regulations prohibiting companies from reporting false information, some companies hope to give their stock a bump by suggesting the number will be lower and then - surprise - the company beats estimates.

Stock analysts and savvy investors can spot companies that make a habit of this and discount their advise, but others may not know and jump on the stock when it beats estimates.

The system works best when every company offers honest advise prior to reporting earnings.


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